Makro Trendler

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH have both reclaimed key psychological levels at $90,000 and $3,000, respectively, signaling a clear recovery in market sentiment. Funds are rotating across multiple sectors, including exchange tokens, Layer-1s, and meme coins. S&P downgraded Tether–USDT’s stability rating to “Weak” but Stable; the Cosmos community has initiated a new ATOM token proposal, reigniting debate over token-economic risks; and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik donated to privacy-focused communication efforts. Plasma’s token has fallen 90% from its early peak, with the project still far from delivering on its ambitious promises. Bitcoin faces a $13.6 billion monthly options expiry this Friday, with 77% of open interest sitting out-of-the-money. Resulting hedging flows may continue to amplify short-term volatility.

This article offers a thorough analysis of the recent Reuters “DOGE Dissolution” hoax, exposing the underlying factors driving media narratives, political polarization, and bureaucratic tactics. It systematically examines the differing perspectives on DOGE’s viability. The article also presents specific outcomes related to budget reductions, workforce downsizing, and contract terminations achieved by Musk’s team. Additionally, it examines the government’s complex transition from aggressive reforms to institutional reforms. By analyzing the ideological clash between Scott Kupor and Musk, the article demonstrates how DOGE continues to influence Washington’s power dynamics and the direction of reform efforts.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 26, the crypto market stabilized amid extreme fear, with the Fear & Greed Index remaining at 15. BTC rose 0.57% while ETH gained 0.79%. Among top movers, Monad (+43.61%) saw strong inflows driven by its mainnet launch and rapid ecosystem deployment; Story Network (+21.66%) rallied on the launch of prediction markets, the migration of education and cultural datasets on-chain, and support from a publicly listed company; ICNT (+20.80%) gained traction following the release of its Q4 network metrics and the announcement of its “4-layer cloud stack.”At the industry level, Circle Arc introduced Gateway to enhance cross-chain USDC liquidity; crypto venture funding climbed to $4.59B in Q3, though capital remained highly concentrated; and USDe TVL drops to $7.6 billion, more than halving from its October level.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin rebounded after stabilizing around the $86,000 level, likely supported by renewed expectations of rate cuts; Ethereum began a recovery on Tuesday after consolidating for several days in the $2,700–$2,800 range. PIPPIN surged 103.36%, driven by renewed popularity of its AI-themed narrative and meme storytelling within trader communities; L3’s recent rally—up 82.58% in the past 24 hours—was fueled primarily by its token-scarcity model. AVAX One spent approximately $110 million to acquire 9.37 million AVAX, while CME U.S. Treasury open interest hit a record high, signaling a decline in investor risk appetite.

The article reveals the dynamic mechanisms of bubble formation and burst through the analysis of historical cases, highlighting the role of wealth disparity in this process, and explores the potential impacts of wealth tax on the economy and society.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 24, BTC’s current price has retraced to around $86,600. If it continues to break below the short-term moving average support, it may face further downside toward the $85,800–$84,500 support range. ETH showed a slightly bearish consolidation pattern, encountering resistance around $2,840 and currently oscillating near $2,780. Ethena’s Q3 fee revenue hit a record high, surpassing $150 million; video-sharing platform Rumble launched the Rumble Wallet, supporting BTC, XAUT, and USDT tipping; and Wormhole Labs introduced Sunrise, bringing assets like MON into the Solana ecosystem.

BTC and ETH continue to trade in a weak, choppy structure, with prices trending lower and rebounds lacking strength. Volatility has spiked multiple times, reflecting fragile sentiment. On the derivatives side, leverage has not returned after a major deleveraging event, with open interest remaining at low levels. The concentrated long liquidations in early November further indicate declining confidence, suggesting that short-term downside risks remain. From a quantitative strategy perspective, the moving-average trend-breakout model has delivered strong performance in assets such as XRP, DOGE, and ADA, though it may still face signal delays and stop-loss whipsaws during strong one-sided trends. In contrast, the Gate Quant Fund employs a market-neutral arbitrage and hedging framework, emphasizing stable returns and risk control, offering investors a lower-volatility and more sustainable long-term allocation option.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 21, BTC extended its downward trajectory after a period of volatile decline, showing a clear accelerating pullback pattern. Mirroring this trend, ETH also followed a similarly sharp correction. Meanwhile, TNSR became a market standout with a surge of more than 220%. FG Nexus sold over 10,000 ETH to raise funds for a stock buyback aimed at supporting its share price, while Tether announced an investment in Parfin to accelerate institutional adoption of USDT across Latin America. The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 15, signaling that overall market sentiment has returned to extreme fear.

Based on a report by BCA Research, this article provides an in-depth analysis of the rise and fall of four capex booms. The article uncovers the underlying logic driving the transition from boom to bust. It also provides a cautionary analysis of the ongoing AI surge.

The article not only provides a detailed explanation of the specific reasons behind market fluctuations but also examines the performance of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as well as the sector-wide performance of the entire cryptocurrency market.

Readers should prioritize well-defined opportunities, such as real-world AI applications and advancements in blockchain infrastructure. They should focus on these rather than getting distracted by short-term market swings or expert discussions.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 19, the crypto market saw a mild rebound despite extreme fear in sentiment. BTC edged up 0.15% to 92,410 USDT, while ETH rose 0.29% to 3,109 USDT. Among top movers, Anoma (+50.92%) surged as its ARM virtual machine went live on Ethereum, driving discussions around intents and programmable privacy; Grass (+23.03%) gained momentum ahead of its first Token Holder Call and on the back of processing 100 million scientific papers for open-science datasets; Falcon Finance (+17.69%) rallied as USDf supply exceeded 2 billion dollars and the Perryverse NFTs were fully revealed. On-chain data shows Bitcoin whales and institutions are accumulating simultaneously, with the number of wallets holding over 1,000 BTC reaching a four-month high. Vitalik introduced the Kohaku privacy framework, advancing privacy as a first-class property on Ethereum. Meanwhile, Zama launched its fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) testnet v2, marking a major step toward its upcoming mainnet launch.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin broke its stabilization trend and saw another high-volume decline; Ethereum fell below the key $3,000 support for the first time. The migration from ai16z to ELIZAOS has been completed on major exchanges, pushing ELIZAOS up 18.00%. Dusk announced partnerships with Chainlink and the Dutch securities exchange NPEX, driving DUSK up 19.25%. The current market pullback is largely driven by rotation among long-term holders. 1inch launched its new liquidity protocol, Aqua, addressing DeFi’s long-standing liquidity fragmentation. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board purchased $80 million worth of MSTR, reinforcing the trend of “large institutions = stable inflows.”

The market is anticipating the year-end "Santa Claus Rally": during periods of loose monetary policy and abundant liquidity, Bitcoin has typically outperformed gold. However, this year's macroeconomic environment and the structure of market participants are different. This article compares the differences between Bitcoin and gold in terms of liquidity, buyer categories, and holiday trading characteristics, exploring which asset is more likely to become the star performer during the year-end period.

The article presents comprehensive data and case studies to examine the evolving landscape of Bitcoin, stablecoins, and DeFi. It details how these changes affect market participants.